BASAR GLOBAL INSIGHTS ON COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE

BRAZIL CRE INVESTMENT MARKET 2018-2023

The population of Brazil is 210 million people and is the 8th largest economy in the world. Total foreign direct Investment equal $10.6 B in September 2018. Brazil Jair Bolosinaro was elected as president is a market-friendly leader not accepting his controversial comments during his campaign, he should help boost confidence and foreign direct investment in Brazil. Brazil market expected to grow by 2.8% but we expect growth of 3.5% in 2019. We expect the economy will outperform in a lower than expected inflation environment. The growth will be sustained by higher confidence index and lower market rates, in an environment which leads to a decline in the unemployment rate and an improvement in credit market conditions favoring consumption and investment. With the process of globalization becoming part of Latin America, the capital flow has been easier and investments have increased in Brazil. Currently, Brazil is competing for foreign investments with other emerging economies, such as India, China, and South Africa. Sao Pablo Brazil.

Due to the recent Brazilian economic crisis, in 2014 the foreign direct investment fell 22.9% from US$96.9 billions to US$ 74.7 billions in 2015. After a recovery in 2016, and another fall in 2017, the foreign direct investment is expected to resume its growth in 2019. The challenges for investing in Brazil is its complicated taxes laws and the fact that Brazil has taken out loans to pay its retirees. The loan amounts to 3% percent of its GNP annually. In Brazil there are miles of beachfront and prices have been soft this investment opportunity provides a strong upside if one can tolerate the issues around tax laws and financial integration of capital. However, we recommend Hotel REIT s in Mexico and Brazil as the vehicle for global diversification.